Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.027039 0.029747 0.032422 0.035257 0.038171 0.041074 0.044179
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.021146 0.025475 0.029871 0.034639 0.039639 0.044705 0.050209
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.017082 0.022454 0.028046 0.034228 0.040811 0.047565 0.054978
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.013778 0.019847 0.026322 0.033607 0.041468 0.049616 0.058630
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.011319 0.017909 0.025113 0.033345 0.042329 0.051716 0.062168
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.009659 0.016710 0.024587 0.033708 0.043751 0.054311 0.066126
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.007579 0.014833 0.023173 0.032983 0.043896 0.055453 0.068449
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006141 0.013596 0.022399 0.032896 0.044671 0.057211 0.071370
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004755 0.012284 0.021456 0.032552 0.045107 0.058550 0.073789
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003472 0.010957 0.020416 0.032037 0.045302 0.059584 0.075836
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002039 0.009176 0.018722 0.030698 0.044521 0.059504 0.076632
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001546 0.008737 0.018663 0.031242 0.045835 0.061701 0.079877
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000855 0.007893 0.018172 0.031410 0.046888 0.063794 0.083219
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000170 0.006636 0.017103 0.030898 0.047198 0.065108 0.085767
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005557 0.016182 0.030516 0.047626 0.066528 0.088409
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004464 0.015133 0.029922 0.047766 0.067594 0.090627
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003649 0.014396 0.029670 0.048272 0.069039 0.093234
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003193 0.014156 0.030019 0.049459 0.071229 0.096642
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002322 0.013133 0.029322 0.049381 0.071966 0.098415
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001799 0.012609 0.029238 0.050007 0.073480 0.101029
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001248 0.011922 0.028908 0.050316 0.074613 0.103201
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000732 0.011141 0.028414 0.050405 0.075477 0.105053
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000164 0.009823 0.027128 0.049504 0.075183 0.105591